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The depth of response based on measurable residual disease (MRD) is one of the key prognostic factors in multiple myeloma (MM). Techniques used for detection of MRD, such as next-generation sequencing (NGS), next-generation flow cytometry (NGF), and positron-emission tomography/computerized tomography (PET/CT) vary in sensitivity levels. Therefore, MRD-negative definitions vary between studies depending on the evaluation technique and the MRD-negativity thresholds of detection used. In order to standardize assessment of MRD, the International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) updated the response criteria in 2016.1
Although the new IMWG MRD-negative response criterion has been evaluated in PET/CT and NGS, no prospective studies were conducted using NGF. Bruno Paiva and colleagues published in the Journal of Clinical Oncology results of a study assessing the value of MRD status using NGF in patients with MM.2
Study design
The open-label, phase III study PETHEMA (GEM2012MENOS65, NCT01916252) included 458 patients who received
Subsequently, patients were enrolled in the GEM2014MAIN (NCT02406144) study and randomized to
MRD assessment
MRD was evaluated using NGF at pre-specified times:
This clinical trial followed the EuroFlow Consortium standardization that defines NGF for MM as the analysis of two tubes with a pre-defined eight-color/antibodies panel. Ideally, each sample should contain > 5 million cells, which would mean sensitivity of at least 1×10-5, although this might not be achieved with all samples obtained.3 For this reason, the limit of detection (LOD) needed to be determined for each sample according to the formula: (20/number of viable nucleated cells) × 100.
MRD was defined as
Applicability and sensitivity of NGF
MRD during treatment
Impact of MRD on disease progression
After a median follow-up of 40 months
MRD response and risk at diagnosis
Table 1. PFS rate at 36 months by R-ISS according to MRD status
MRD, measurable residual disease; PFS, progression-free survival; R-ISS, Revised International Staging System |
|||
R-ISS stage |
PFS in all patients |
PFS rate in patients with undetectable MRD, % |
PFS rate in patients with detectable MRD, % |
R-ISS I |
77 |
95 |
62 |
R-ISS II |
70 |
94 |
53 |
R-ISS III |
46 |
88 |
28 |
Table 2. Multivariable analyses of PFS and OS, incorporating risk stratification at baseline according to the R-ISS and response after treatment according to MRD status
CI, confidence intervals; HR, hazard ratio; MRD, measurable residual disease; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; R-ISS, Revised International Staging System |
||||
Model |
PFS |
OS |
||
HR (95% CI) |
p value |
HR (95% CI) |
p value |
|
First regression Undetectable vs persistent MRD |
0.12 (0.07–0.21) |
<0.001 |
0.09 (0.04–0.23) |
< 0.001 |
Second regression Undetectable vs persistent MRD R-ISSI/II vs III |
0.12 (0.07–0.21) 0.46 (0.26–0.80) |
<0.001 0.006 |
0.09 (0.04–0.23) 0.29 (0.15–0.55) |
< 0.001 < 0.001 |
Impact of maintenance on the MRD status
MRD status after consolidation remained relatively stable during the first 2 years of maintenance
Initial results from the GEM2012MENOS65 trial demonstrated the efficacy and safety of VRD as induction therapy for patients with newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) who are eligible for auto-HSCT. The investigators observed that with every additional VRD induction cycle and treatment phase, the depth of responses increased, and this trend has been further confirmed with MRD assessment by NGF.
With a median follow-up of 40 months, this analysis reported that almost 50% of patients achieved an undetectable MRD when treated with VRD followed by HDT/auto-HSCT and consolidation with VRD. The higher rates of undetectable MRD were translated into higher PFS and OS rates, reaching 90% at 3 years.
Patients presenting with an undetectable MRD after induction achieved similar survival outcomes to patients with MRD undetectable after HDT/auto-HSCT. Therefore, MRD after induction might become a tool to decide on early intensification of treatment, or whether to defer auto-HSCT until after disease progression in patients with undetectable MRD.
The study also validated the updated IMWG MRD-negative response criterion for NGF, which assesses the presence of malignant cells in the BM samples, and demonstrates that it is a highly applicable and sensitive way to evaluate treatment efficacy in MM outside clinical trials. Nevertheless, the authors support previous publications that advocate for defining MRD-negativity with a LOD of 10-6 rather than the IMWG threshold of < 10-5.
Patients with undetectable MRD after consolidation showed very low-risk of disease progression (7%) with 3-year survival rates reaching 90%. Attaining undetectable MRD overcame poor prognostic features at diagnosis, including high-risk cytogenetics. These are unprecedented results that identify new outcomes for transplant-eligible patients and establish undetectable MRD as the new treatment endpoint for MM.
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